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Survivor count: Difference between revisions

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The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on ''[[Colonial One]]'', and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue. In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on [[Kobol]] early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced with date information from [[Re-Imagined Series Timeline]].
{{disline|This article involves the survivor count of the refugees in the [[Re-imagined Series]]. For a count of losses and gains in the Fleet incurred during the [[Original Series]], see: [[Fleet population]].}}
[[File:TRS - 33 - Roslin Adds to the Survivor Count Whiteboard.jpg|thumb|[[Laura Roslin]] celebrates a small victory following the birth of a child aboard ''{{RDM|Rising Star}}'' {{TRS|33}}.]]
The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on ''[[Colonial One]]'', and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue.  
 
In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on {{RDM|Kobol}} early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced [[Timeline (RDM)|with the timeline]].


==Graph==
==Graph==
[[Image:Survivors.png]]
[[Image:Fleet_survivors_new.jpg]]
:''All dates past Day 51 are estimates.''
:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''


==Data==
==Data==
===Season 1===
'''Zero Hour'''
*'''[[Miniseries]]'''
**50,000,000,000 - Estimated total population of the Twelve Colonies of Kobol prior to the Cylon attack {{TRS|A Disquiet Follows My Soul}}.


'''Day 6'''
'''Day 6'''
*'''[[33]]'''
*'''[[33]]'''
**50,298 - initial estimate.
**50,298 - Initial estimate.
**49,998 - after revising count downward by 300.
**49,998 - Revised count.  A decrease of 300.
**49,317 - after second revision downward (cut scene, DVD)
**49,317 - Second revision.  A decrease of 618 (cut scene, DVD).
**47,972 - after destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.
**47,972 - A loss of 1345 after destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.
**47,973 - one birth on the ''[[Rising Star (RDM)|Rising Star]]''.
**47,973 - One birth aboard the ''[[Rising Star (RDM)|Rising Star]]''.


'''Day 10'''
'''Day 10'''
*'''[[Water]]'''
*'''[[Water]]'''
**47,958
**47,958 - A net loss of 15.


'''Day 15'''
'''Day 15'''
*'''[[You Can't Go Home Again]]'''
*'''[[You Can't Go Home Again]]'''
**47,958 - has not been updated to reflect the deaths of 13 pilots in "[[Act of Contrition]]"
**47,958 - 13 pilots killed in a hangar deck accident in "[[Act of Contrition]]." (The count is not updated.)


'''Day 25'''
'''Day 25'''
*'''[[Flesh and Bone]]'''
*'''[[Flesh and Bone]]'''
**47,954 - after deaths of a marine and three crew in "[[Litmus]]", discovery of [[Ellen Tigh]] one week prior to "[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]", and the disappearance of [[Shelly Godfrey]] in "[[Six Degrees of Separation]]". [[Aaron Doral#Scorpia Traveler copy|Aaron Doral (Scorpia Traveler copy)]] was apparently not included among the fleet's population. The events of "Act of Contrition" have (still) not been accounted for.
**47,954 - A net loss of 4 after deaths of a marine and three crew in "[[Litmus]]," the discovery of [[Ellen Tigh]] one week prior to "[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]," and the disappearance of [[Shelly Godfrey]] in "[[Six Degrees of Separation]]". [[Number Five#Suicide Bomber Copy|Aaron Doral (Scorpia Traveler copy)]] was apparently not included among the fleet's population. The events of "Act of Contrition" have (still) not been accounted for.


'''Day 28'''
'''Day 28'''
*'''[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]'''
*'''[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]'''
**47,905 - given by Dr. [[Gaius Baltar]], possibly excluding himself and [[Sharon Valerii (Galactica copy)|Sharon Valerii]]. Unusually large reduction for a 3-day period.
**47,905 - A loss of 49. Total stated by Dr. [[Gaius Baltar]], possibly excluding himself and [[Sharon Valerii]].


'''Day 48'''
'''Day 48'''
*'''[[Colonial Day]]'''
*'''[[Colonial Day]]'''
**47,898 - immediately after [[Valance]]'s death. Includes four viper pilots killed in "[[The Hand of God (RDM)|The Hand of God]]".
**47,898 - [[Valance]] is murdered while in custody aboard ''[[Cloud 9]]''. Four Viper pilots killed in "[[The Hand of God (RDM)|The Hand of God]]".  Two additional unexplained deaths.


'''Day 50'''
'''Day 50'''
*'''[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]'''
*'''[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]'''
**47,897
**47,897 - One unseen death.


'''Day 51'''
'''Day 51'''
*'''[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part II]]'''
*'''[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part II]]'''
**47,887 - ten-person crew of [[Raptor 3]].
**47,887 - [[Raptor 3]] destroyed over {{RDM|Kobol}} with 10 souls aboard.
*'''[[Scattered]]'''
*'''[[Scattered]]'''
**47,875 - [[Sharon Valerii (Galactica copy)|''Galactica'' Boomer]] was probably removed after her assassination attempt. Probably includes the death of [[Karma]] in KLG pt. I, since the on-screen total appears to include deaths on Kobol.
**47,875 - [[Sharon Valerii|"Boomer" Valerii]] is removed from the count after her assassination attempt. Probably includes the death of [[Karma]] in "[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]," since the on-screen total appears to include deaths on Kobol. 10 additional unseen deaths.
 
=== Season 2===
 
*'''[[Valley of Darkness]]'''
*'''[[Valley of Darkness]]'''
**47,874 - [[Tarn]]
**47,874 - [[Tarn]] shot by Cylon Centurions.
*'''[[Fragged]]'''
*'''[[Fragged]]'''
**47,862 - [[Flyboy]], [[Socinus]], others in Cylon boarding action.
**47,862 - [[Flyboy]] killed by Cylon Centurion.  [[Socinus]] euthanized by [[Galen Tyrol]].  Additional casualties during Cylon boarding action of ''Galactica''.


'''Day 54 (est.)'''
'''Day 54 (est.)'''
*'''[[Resistance (episode)|Resistance]]'''
*'''[[Resistance (episode)|Resistance]]'''
**47,861 - [[Crashdown]]
**47,861 - {{callsign|Crashdown}} shot by [[Gaius Baltar]].


'''Day 60 (est.)'''
'''Day 60 (est.)'''
*'''[[The Farm]]'''
*'''[[The Farm]]'''
** 47,857 - Four civillians onboard the ''[[Gideon]]''.
** 47,857 - Four civilians massacred by marine strike team aboard the ''[[Gideon]]''.


'''Dates Unknown'''
'''Dates Unknown'''
Line 61: Line 74:
** 47,858 - Return of [[Karl Agathon|Helo]], who was presumed dead. Caprica Valerii is not included in the count.
** 47,858 - Return of [[Karl Agathon|Helo]], who was presumed dead. Caprica Valerii is not included in the count.
*'''[[Home, Part II]]'''
*'''[[Home, Part II]]'''
** 47,855 - Death of [[Elosha]] and a [[Laura Roslin faction]] [[Wikipedia: Redshirt (character)|Redshirt]].
** 47,855 - Death of [[Elosha]] and a [[Laura Roslin faction|faction]] [[Wikipedia: Redshirt (character)|redshirt]].
*'''[[Final Cut]]'''
*'''[[Final Cut]]'''
** 47,853 - Death of [[Meier]] and unnamed Tom Zarek henchman in "Home, Part II".
** 47,853 - Death of [[Meier]] and unnamed Tom Zarek henchman in "Home, Part II".
Line 69: Line 82:
** 47,853 - No change since "Final Cut".
** 47,853 - No change since "Final Cut".


'''Date Unknown'''
'''Dates Unknown'''
*'''[[Pegasus (episode)|Pegasus]]'''
*'''[[Pegasus (episode)|Pegasus]]'''
**49,605 - After the return of the battlestar ''[[Pegasus (RDM)|Pegasus]]'', a dramatic increase of 1,752 over the previous count. The change is shown in the opening credits of [[Pegasus (episode)|Pegasus]], since the ship appeared in the "teaser" before the opening credits.
**49,605 - After the return of the battlestar ''[[Pegasus (RDM)|Pegasus]]'', a dramatic increase of 1,752 over the previous count. The change is shown in the opening credits of [[Pegasus (episode)|Pegasus]], since the ship appeared in the "teaser" before the opening credits.
*'''[[Resurrection Ship, Part I]]'''
*'''[[Resurrection Ship, Part I]]'''
**49,604 - Death of [[Alistair Thorne]].
**49,604 - Death of [[Alastair Thorne]].
*'''[[Resurrection Ship, Part II]]'''
*'''[[Resurrection Ship, Part II]]'''
**49,604 - No change since "Resurrection Ship, Part I".
**49,604 - No change since "Resurrection Ship, Part I".
Line 81: Line 94:
** 49,598 - Deaths of Admiral [[Helena Cain]] and an unnamed marine guard on ''Pegasus''. The remaining casualty count of four is conspicuously low given the scope of the [[Battle of the Resurrection Ship|battle]] depicted in the previous episode.
** 49,598 - Deaths of Admiral [[Helena Cain]] and an unnamed marine guard on ''Pegasus''. The remaining casualty count of four is conspicuously low given the scope of the [[Battle of the Resurrection Ship|battle]] depicted in the previous episode.


'''Date Unknown'''
'''Dates Unknown'''
*'''[[Black Market]]'''
*'''[[Black Market]]'''
**49,597 - The death of a suicide bomber on the [[Daru Mozu]]. Based on dialogue, the attack took the lives of the bomber and at least two civillians. This may have been offset by births in between the two episodes. The death of Commander [[Jack Fisk]] was shown in the teaser of [[Black Market]], and should be counted in the opening credits.  
**49,597 - The death of a suicide bomber on the ''[[Daru Mozu]]''. Based on dialogue, the attack took the lives of the bomber and at least two civilians. This may have been offset by births in between the two episodes. The death of [[Jack Fisk]] was shown in the teaser of [[Black Market]], and should be counted in the opening credits.  
*'''[[Scar]]'''
*'''[[Scar]]'''
**49,593 - Deaths of Commander [[Jack Fisk]], Fisk's assasin, [[Phelan]], and one other person, presumably [[Beano]]. It is unclear where the death of Beano, the first of four pilots killed by Scar is counted. Since much of the episode, including the deaths of the four pilots killed by Scar, is shown in flashback.
**49,593 - Deaths of Commander [[Jack Fisk]], Fisk's assassin, [[Phelan]], and one other person, presumably [[Beano]]. It is unclear where the death of Beano, the first of four pilots killed by Scar is counted. Since much of the episode, including the deaths of the four pilots killed by Scar, is shown in flashback.


*'''[[Sacrifice]]'''
*'''[[Sacrifice]]'''
Line 92: Line 105:
'''c. Day 210'''
'''c. Day 210'''
*'''[[The Captain's Hand]]'''
*'''[[The Captain's Hand]]'''
**49,584 - Deaths of [[Sesha Abinell]], [[Vinson]], [[Page]], [[Chu]], and two unnamed marines, and [[Billy Keikeya]]. Sesha Abinell's husband Ray was killed during a Cylon attack ten weeks prior to this episode, but it does not appear to have been counted. It may have been offset by a birth.
**49,584 - Deaths of [[Sesha Abinell]], [[Kern Vinson]], [[Nelson Page]], [[George Chu]], and two unnamed marines, and [[Billy Keikeya]]. Sesha Abinell's husband Ray was killed during a Cylon attack ten weeks prior to this episode, but it does not appear to have been counted. It may have been offset by a birth.


'''c. Day 240'''
'''c. Day 240'''
*'''[[The Captain's Hand]]'''
*'''[[The Captain's Hand]]'''
**49,579 - Deaths of [[Richard Bayer|"Buster"]], [[Lyla|"Shark"]], the two-man crew of [[Raptor 314]], and Commander [[Barry Garner]] (seen near the end on the white board).
**49,579 - Deaths of [[Richard Bayer|Buster]], [[Lyla|Shark]], the two-man crew of [[Raptor 314]], and Commander [[Barry Garner]] (seen near the end on the white board).
 
'''Between c. Day 240 and c. Day 270'''
*'''[[Razor]] ( Present events)'''
**49,579 - confirms closing count from "The Captain's Hand".


'''c. Day 270'''
'''c. Day 270'''
*'''[[Downloaded]]'''
*'''[[Downloaded]]'''
**49,579 - confirms closing count from 'Captain's Hand'.
**49,579 - confirms closing count from "The Captain's Hand".  The count is either not updated to reflect the deaths of [[Kendra Shaw]] and [[Dasilva]] in "[[Razor]]" or there were births that offset those deaths.
*'''[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part I]]'''
*'''[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part I]]'''
**49,579 - No change since [[Downloaded]]. It is unclear how the birth of [[Hera]] is counted. Her birth appears to be offset by the death of [[Maya]]'s child. Maya's child seems to be the one seen in the incubator, and whose ashes are spread out of a Raptor by Helo and Tyrol.
**49,579 - No change since "[[Downloaded]]". It is unclear how the birth of [[Hera Agathon|Hera]] is counted. Her birth appears to be offset by the death of [[Maya]]'s child. Maya's child seems to be the one seen in the incubator, and whose ashes are spread out of a Raptor by Helo and Tyrol.
'''c. Day 280'''
'''c. Day 280'''
*'''[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]'''
*'''[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]'''
Line 112: Line 129:
*'''[[Precipice]]'''
*'''[[Precipice]]'''
**According to Lee Adama, about 2,000 civilians escaped with the ships in orbit of New Caprica.
**According to Lee Adama, about 2,000 civilians escaped with the ships in orbit of New Caprica.
**Adama also tells us that both ''Galactica'' and ''Pegasus'' are at half strength.
**Adama also states that both ''Galactica'' and ''Pegasus'' are at half strength (this can't be taken literally).
***A careful [[crew tally]] establishes that, at full strength, ''Galactica'' is crewed by about 2,808 people and ''Pegasus'' by about 2,445. This puts the maximum number of military personnel at about 2,627.
***A careful [[crew tally]] establishes that, at full strength, ''Galactica'' is crewed by about 2,808 people and ''Pegasus'' by about 2,445.
***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,660 people, and ''Pegasus'' by 1,743. This puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,202.
***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,600 people, and ''Pegasus'' by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.
**This puts our estimate of the total human population between 43,394 (39,192 + 2,000 + 2,202) and 43,819 (39,192 + 2,000 + 2,627).
**This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)
**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II", this means that the total population fell by between 5,731 and 6,156 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of [[Cloud Nine]] and the surrounding vessels.
**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II," this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of ''[[Cloud 9]]'' and the surrounding vessels.
:''For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "[[Crossroads, Part I]]" section''
 
=== Season 3===


'''During the Occupation of New Caprica (from c. Day 660 to c. Day 798)'''
'''During the Occupation of New Caprica (from c. Day 660 to c. Day 798)'''
*An unknown number of people died in the insurgency and Cylon retaliation. However this must be offset by additional births during this four month time span. Accurately tracking the population numbers is impossible at this point, but known casualty figures are given below:
*An unknown number of people died in the insurgency and Cylon retaliation. However this must be offset by additional births during this four month time span. Accurately tracking the population numbers is impossible at this point, but known casualty figures are given below:
*'''c. Day 729'''
*'''c. Day 729'''
**'''[[Battlestar Galactica: The Resistance]]''' - 10 people are killed at the temple, including [[Nora]].
**'''[[Battlestar Galactica: The Resistance]]''' - 10 people are killed at the temple, including [[Nora Farmer]].
*'''c. Day 794'''
*'''c. Day 794'''
**'''[[Occupation]]''' - [[Tucker Clellan]] bombs the [[New Caprica Police]] graduation ceremony, killing 33 humans.
**'''[[Occupation]]''' - [[Tucker Clellan]] bombs the [[New Caprica Police]] graduation ceremony, killing 33 humans.
*'''c. Day 796'''
*'''c. Day 796'''
**'''[[Precipice]]''' - suicide bombing at the power substation kills 4 humans.
**'''[[Precipice]]''' - suicide bombing at the power substation kills 4 humans. Three resistance fighters die in the ambush at [[Breeders Canyon]].
*'''c. Day 798'''
*'''c. Day 798'''
**'''[[Exodus, Part II]]''' - numerous casualties during the evacuation of New Caprica, including [[Maya]].
**'''[[Exodus, Part II]]''' - numerous casualties during the evacuation of New Caprica, including [[Maya]].  [[Ellen Tigh]] is poisoned by her husband for collaborating with the Cylons, but as she is a Cylon herself her death is not counted.


'''c. Day 800'''
'''c. Day 800'''
*'''[[Collaborators]]'''
*'''[[Collaborators]]'''
**41,435 - Fleet population as of the third day of the Second Exodus. Given the above numbers, the death toll of the resistance and the [[Battle of New Caprica]] is about 2000 people. Given the total given in the next episode, this figure doesn't seem to reflect the 13 collaborators executed by [[The Circle]] between this episode and the last.
**41,435 - Fleet population as of the third day of the Second Exodus. Given the above numbers, the death toll of the resistance and the [[Battle of New Caprica]] is about 2000 people. Given the total in the next episode, this figure does not reflect the 13 collaborators executed by the [[Circle]] between this episode and the last.
**Several hundred children might have been born on New Caprica. Since they are also included in the count, the Fleet has lost more older and able-bodied people than apparent.
**Several hundred children might have been born on New Caprica. Since they are also included in the count, the Fleet has lost more older and able-bodied people than apparent.


'''c. Day 830'''
'''c. Day 830'''
*'''[[Torn]]'''
*'''[[Torn]]'''
**41,422 - Figure now reflects the 13 collaborators executed by [[The Circle]]. No deaths occur in this episode.
**41,422 - Figure now reflects the 13 collaborators executed by the [[Circle]]. No deaths occur in this episode.
 
'''c. Day 831'''
*'''[[A Measure of Salvation]]'''
**41,420 - Two unseen deaths.
 
'''c. Day 935'''
*'''[[Hero]]'''
**41,421 - [[Daniel Novacek|Daniel "Bulldog" Novacek]] escapes from Cylon custody and joins the population of the fleet.
 
'''c. Day 950'''
*'''[[Unfinished Business]]'''
**41,422 - One birth.
 
'''Dates Unknown'''
*'''[[The Passage]]'''
**41,420 - Two unseen deaths.
 
*'''[[The Eye of Jupiter]]'''
**41,402 - Eighteen deaths from radiation exposure, including the skeleton crews of the ''[[Adriatic]]'' and the ''[[Carina]]''.  This also includes [[Louanne Katraine|Louanne Katraine]].
 
*'''[[Rapture]]'''
**41,401 - One unseen death.
 
*'''[[Taking a Break from All Your Worries]]'''
**41,403 - Deaths of [[Hillard]] and [[Omar Fischer]]. [[Hera Agathon]], [[Gaius Baltar]] and [[Caprica-Six]] join the Fleet's population, in addition to two possible birth.  Caprica-Six is not added to the count.
 
*'''[[The Woman King]]'''
**41,401 - Two unseen deaths.
 
*'''[[A Day in the Life]]'''
**41,398 - Deaths of [[Willie King]] and two other Sagittarons; possibly more if offset by births.
 
*'''[[Dirty Hands]]'''
**41,400 - Two births.
 
*'''[[Maelstrom]]'''
**41,400 - No net change.
 
*'''[[The Son Also Rises]]'''
**41,399 - Death of [[Kara Thrace]] in the prior episode, and [[Alan Hughes]] at the end of this episode's teaser. Hughes' death is either not counted, offset by a birth, or Thrace's death is not counted.
 
*'''[[Crossroads, Part I]]'''
**Unknown, as there is no intro for this episode.
**The following numbers are given during Baltar's trial by [[Cassidy]]: 44,035 - the number who settled on New Caprica; 38,838 - the number the day after the escape. However the number of escapees can only refer to the ''civilian'' population of the Fleet, and despite talking specifically about the people who settled on New Caprica, this number includes the ''total'' population, including those in orbit.
**This contradictory wording is a writing error, but interpreting them slightly differently confirms the estimates from "[[Precipice]]":
***41,435 (Collaborators) - 38,838 = 2,597 (the military personnel in the Fleet)
***44,035 - 39,192 (the inhabitants of [[New Caprica City]]) = 4,835 (the total population left in orbit)
***4,835 - 2,597 = 2,238 (in "Precipice" Lee Adama refers to roughly 2,000 civilians who escaped New Caprica)
***49,550 (count in "[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]") - 39,192 - 4,835 = 5,523 (the death toll prior to the occupation, mostly incurred with the destruction of ''[[Cloud 9]]'')
***49,550 - 5,523 - 41,435 = 2,592 (the causalities of the Cylon occupation and the [[Battle of New Caprica|escape from New Caprica]])
:'''Note:''' While this number of military personnel fits with the estimate about their strength during the settlement of New Caprica, it still does not fit with the depiction of overcrowding on ''Galactica'' after the escape from the planet and the destruction of ''Pegasus'', since the battlestar was crewed with approximately 2,600 people to begin with. The number of civilians should therefore be lower.
 
*'''[[Crossroads, Part II]]'''
**Unknown, as there is no intro for this episode.
 
=== Season 4===
 
*'''[[He That Believeth in Me]]'''
**39,698 - A loss of [[Numerology#1701|1,701]], accounting for the ca. 600 deaths on ''[[Pyxis]]'', and ca. additional 1,100 deaths on other ships damaged during the [[Battle of the Ionian Nebula]], such as the ''[[Zephyr]]'' and ''[[Astral Queen]]''. The assumed dead [[Kara Thrace]] returns, presumably increasing the number by one.  [[Samuel Anders]], [[Tory Foster]], [[Saul Tigh]], and [[Galen Tyrol]] likely removed from the count upon revelation of their Cylon nature.
 
*'''[[Six of One]]'''
**39,676 - 22 unaccounted for deaths from the previous episode. These may be people who were wounded in the battle, but died of their injuries later.
 
*'''[[The Ties That Bind]]'''
**39,676 - No change. [[Cally Tyrol]] dies during the course of the episode.
 
*'''[[Escape Velocity]]'''
**39,675 - Cally Tyrol's death is accounted for.
 
*'''[[The Road Less Traveled]]'''
**39,676 - An increase of one; likely a birth in the Fleet. Sergeant [[Erin Mathias]] dies during the episode.
 
*'''[[Faith]]'''
**39,675 - Mathias's death is accounted for. [[Jean Barolay]] and [[Emily Kowalski]] die during the episode.
 
*'''[[Guess What's Coming to Dinner?]]'''
**39,673 - Barolay's and Kowalski's deaths are counted.
 
*'''[[Sine Qua Non]]'''
**39,674 - An unexplained increase by one. During the episode [[Eammon Pike]] is found the dead in the Raptor and several pilots were likely killed in the battle at the [[Resurrection Hub]].  [[Natalie Faust]] succumbs to her injuries from {{callsign|Athena}}'s assassination attempt.  Her death is not counted.
 
*'''[[The Hub]]'''
**39,673 - A decrease of one, possibly counting Pike's death. However, the episode takes place concurrently with "Sine Qua Non" and Pike only dies later in the episode.
 
*'''[[Revelations]]'''
**39,665 - A decrease of eight, likely accounting for the Colonial casualties during the [[Battle of the Resurrection Hub]].
 
*'''[[Sometimes a Great Notion]]'''
**39,651 - A decrease of fourteen.  Accounting for the unnamed pilot executed by [[D'Anna Biers|D'Anna]] in "[[Revelations]]," and thirteen additional unexplained deaths.
**39,650 - [[Anastasia Dualla]] commits suicide.
 
*'''[[A Disquiet Follows My Soul]]'''
**39,644 - A loss of six.  [[Esrin|Ensign "Easy" Esrin]], [[J. Finnegan|Lieutenant J. "Shark" Finnegan]], and [[Brooks|Specialist Brooks]] are murdered by "[[Number Eight|Sweet Eight]]" aboard [[Raptor 718]], and three possible suicides. 2 marines die in the course of the episode.
 
*'''[[The Oath]]'''
**39,643 - A loss of one, [[Peter Laird]] (killed by [[Tom Zarek]]).
 
*'''[[Blood on the Scales]]'''
** 39,603 -  A loss of 40. Probably casualties of [[Gaeta's Mutiny|Felix Gaeta and Tom Zarek's coup d'etat]]. Private [[Stewart Jaffee]] and [[Maldonaldo|Lance Corporal Maldonaldo]] are among the slain.
 
*'''[[No Exit]]'''
** 39,556 - A loss of 47, including eleven members of the [[Quorum of Twelve (RDM)|Quorum]], [[Parr]], [[Tom Zarek]] and [[Felix Gaeta]], and other probable casualties of the coup.
 
*'''[[Deadlock]]'''
** 39,556 - No change.  [[Ellen Tigh]] and [[Sharon Valerii]] return to the fleet but are not factored into the count.
 
*'''[[Someone to Watch Over Me]]'''
** 39,556 - No change.
 
*'''[[Islanded in a Stream of Stars]]'''
** 39,521 - 35 casualties from the damage done to ''Galactica'' by [[Sharon Valerii|Sharon "Boomer" Valerii]]'s mistimed FTL jump.  Cylon workers are among the dead but are not factored into the count.
 
*'''[[Daybreak, Part I]]'''
** 39,516 - 5 unknown casualties, possibly people who were wounded in the previous episode but did not die until later.
 
*'''[[Daybreak, Part II]]'''
** Unknown - No opening count for this episode.  Heavy losses incurred during the [[Battle of The Colony]] including (but not limited to): [[Margaret Edmonson|Margaret "Racetrack" Edmonson]], [[Hamish McCall|Hamish "Skulls" McCall]], 4 other Viper pilots and the crews of 7 Raptors.  Uncounted Cylon casualties include [[Sharon Valerii]], [[Number One|John Cavil]], [[Tory Foster]], and the entire Number One, [[Number Four|Four]], and [[Number Five|Five]] model lines.
 
*'''[[Daybreak, Part II|Daybreak, Part III]]'''
** 39,406 - Tally shown digitally available version of "Daybreak, Part III".  A loss of 110, most likely casualties from the Battle of the Colony.
** approx. "38,000" - Closing count given by Admiral Adama, a verbal estimate of the number of survivors who survived to make it to the second [[Earth (RDM)|Earth]].  [[Laura Roslin]] dies on [[Earth]].  [[Kara Thrace|Kara "Starbuck" Thrace]] mysteriously vanishes.  [[Samuel Anders]] pilots the Fleet into Earth's sun.
 
*'''150,000 Years Later'''
** 6,760,000,000 - Estimated current population of Earth, descendants of the survivors of the Twelve Colonies of Kobol.
 
==Per Episode==
 
{| class="messagebox sortable"
|-
! No.
! Episode
! Population
! ΔPopulation
|-
| 1.01
| [[33]]
| 50,298
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 1.02
| [[Water]]
| 47,958
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2340
|-
| 1.03
| [[Bastille Day]]
| 47,958
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 1.04
| [[Act of Contrition]]
| 47,958
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 1.05
| [[You Can't Go Home Again]]
| 47,954
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 4
|-
| 1.06
| [[Litmus]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 1.07
| [[Six Degrees of Separation]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 1.08
| [[Flesh and Bone]]
| 47,954
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 1.09
| [[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]
| 47,905
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 49
|-
| 1.10
| [[The Hand of God (RDM)|The Hand of God]]
| 47,898
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 7
|-
| 1.11
| [[Colonial Day]]
| 47,898
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 1.12
| [[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]
| 47,897
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 1.13
| [[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part II]]
| 47,887
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 10
|-
| 2.01
| [[Scattered]]
| 47,875
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 12
|-
| 2.02
| [[Valley of Darkness]]
| 47,874
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 2.03
| [[Fragged]]
| 47,862
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 12
|-
| 2.04
| [[Resistance (episode)|Resistance]]
| 47,861
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 2.05
| [[The Farm]]
| 47,857
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 4
|-
| 2.06
| [[Home, Part I]]
| 47,858
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1
|-
| 2.07
| [[Home, Part II]]
| 47,855
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 3
|-
| 2.08
| [[Final Cut]]
| 47,853
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2
|-
| 2.09
| [[Flight of the Phoenix]]
| 47,853
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 2.10
| [[Pegasus (episode)|Pegasus]]
| 49,605
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1752
|-
| 2.11
| [[Resurrection Ship, Part I]]
| 49,604
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 2.12
| [[Resurrection Ship, Part II]]
| 49,604
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 2.13
| [[Epiphanies]]
| 49,598
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 6
|-
| 2.14
| [[Black Market]]
| 49,597
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 2.15
| [[Scar]]
| 49,593
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 4
|-
| 2.16
| [[Sacrifice]]
| 49,590
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 3
|-
| 2.17
| [[The Captain's Hand]]
| 49,584
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 6
|-
| 2.18
| [[Downloaded]]
| 49,579
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 5
|-
| 2.19
| [[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part I]]
| 49,579
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 2.20
| [[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]
| 49,550
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 29
|-
| 3.01
| [[Occupation]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 3.02
| [[Precipice]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 3.03
| [[Exodus, Part I]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 3.04
| [[Exodus, Part II]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 3.05
| [[Collaborators]]
| 41,435
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 8115
|-
| 3.06
| [[Torn]]
| 41,422
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 13
|-
| 3.07
| [[A Measure of Salvation]]
| 41,420
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2
|-
| 3.08
| [[Hero]]
| 41,421
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1
|-
| 3.09
| [[Unfinished Business]]
| 41,422
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1
|-
| 3.10
| [[The Passage]]
| 41,420
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2
|-
| 3.11
| [[The Eye of Jupiter]]
| 41,402
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 18
|-
| 3.12
| [[Rapture]]
| 41,401
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 3.13
| [[Taking a Break From All Your Worries]]
| 41,403
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 2
|-
| 3.14
| [[The Woman King]]
| 41,401
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2
|-
| 3.15
| [[A Day in the Life]]
| 41,398
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 3
|-
| 3.16
| [[Dirty Hands]]
| 41,400
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 2
|-
| 3.17
| [[Maelstrom]]
| 41,400
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 3.18
| [[The Son Also Rises]]
| 41,399
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 3.19
| [[Crossroads, Part I]]
| 41,399
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 3.20
| [[Crossroads, Part II]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 4.01
| [[He That Believeth in Me]]
| 39,698
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1701
|-
| 4.02
| [[Six of One]]
| 39,676
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 22
|-
| 4.03
| [[The Ties That Bind]]
| 39,676
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 4.04
| [[Escape Velocity]]
| 39,675
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 4.05
| [[The Road Less Traveled]]
| 39,676
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1
|-
| 4.06
| [[Faith]]
| 39,675
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 4.07
| [[Guess What's Coming to Dinner?]]
| 39,673
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 2
|-
| 4.08
| [[Sine Qua Non]]
| 39,674
| [[Image:Symbol Up Arrow.svg|13px|Population increase.]] 1
|-
| 4.09
| [[The Hub]]
| 39,673
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 4.10
| [[Revelations]]
| 39,665
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 8
|-
| 4.11
| [[Sometimes a Great Notion]]
| 39,651
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 14
|-
| 4.12
| [[A Disquiet Follows My Soul]]
| 39,650
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 4.13
| [[The Oath]]
| 39,644
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 6
|-
| 4.14
| [[Blood on the Scales]]
| 39,643
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 1
|-
| 4.15
| [[No Exit]]
| 39,603
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 40
|-
| 4.16
| [[Deadlock]]
| 39,556
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 47
|-
| 4.17
| [[Someone to Watch Over Me]]
| 39,556
| [[Image:Symbol Steady Arrow.svg|13px|No population change.]] 0
|-
| 4.18
| [[Islanded in a Stream of Stars]]
| 39,521
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 35
|-
| 4.19
| [[Daybreak, Part I]]
| 39,516
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 5
|-
| 4.20
| [[Daybreak, Part II]]
| Not Available
| <br/>
|-
| 4.21
| [[Daybreak, Part II|Daybreak, Part III]]
| 39,406
| [[Image:Symbol Down Arrow.svg|13px|Population decline.]] 110
|}


==Analysis==
==Analysis==
*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on [[Cloud Nine]] by the Model Six Cylon known as Gina in [[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]] is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the [[Olympic Carrier]] was destroyed in [[33]].
*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on ''[[Cloud 9]]'' by the [[Number Six]] copy, [[Gina Inviere]], is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.
*Since the end of "[[33]]", the fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, the fleet will be completely depopulated in 62 years. If the show's failure to supply concrete dates continues during the remainder of the second season, perhaps the "[[Wikipedia:Half-life|half-life]]" of the fleet's population can be used to "[[Wikipedia: Radiocarbon dating|carbon date]]" future episodes.
*The ships ''[[Adriatic]]'' and ''[[Carina]]'' are also destroyed in "[[The Passage]]," however with only skeleton crews aboard.
*First season survivor counts are available from the whiteboard aboard [[Colonial One]]. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles, as well as the whiteboard.
:*A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the ''Carina'' indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.
*Since the end of "[[33]]," the Fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, barring the arrival of more humans such as that seen in "[[Pegasus]]," the Fleet would be completely depopulated within a few decades.  
*In "[[The Captain's Hand]]" (roughly in the region of Day 250-60), Dr. Baltar estimated that (factoring in the arrival of ''Pegasus''), given the survivor count's current rate of decline, never increasing, the human race will simply go extinct in 18 years.  If this refers only to excess mortality, it would mean an average rate of roughly 7.5 people a day. It may be that Baltar's estimate considered more factors, such as labor shortages resulting in famine, which would complicate this model, resulting in the death rate exponentially increasing over time.   
*In "[[The Captain's Hand]]" (roughly in the region of Day 250-60), Dr. Baltar estimated that (factoring in the arrival of ''Pegasus''), given the survivor count's current rate of decline, never increasing, the human race will simply go extinct in 18 years.  If this refers only to excess mortality, it would mean an average rate of roughly 7.5 people a day. It may be that Baltar's estimate considered more factors, such as labor shortages resulting in famine, which would complicate this model, resulting in the death rate exponentially increasing over time.   
*First season survivor counts are available from [[Laura Roslin|President Roslin's]] whiteboard aboard ''[[Colonial One]]''. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles, as well as the presidential whiteboard.
*The loss of 8,115 people between "[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]" and "[[Collaborators]]" is the highest net loss from one opening title count to another.


[[Category:A to Z]]
[[Category:A to Z]]
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[[Category:Colonial History (RDM)]]
[[Category:Colonial History (RDM)]]
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Latest revision as of 06:24, 14 July 2024

Laura Roslin celebrates a small victory following the birth of a child aboard Rising Star (TRS: "33").

The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on Colonial One, and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue.

In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on Kobol early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced with the timeline.

Graph

All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)

Data

Season 1

Zero Hour

Day 6

  • 33
    • 50,298 - Initial estimate.
    • 49,998 - Revised count. A decrease of 300.
    • 49,317 - Second revision. A decrease of 618 (cut scene, DVD).
    • 47,972 - A loss of 1345 after destruction of the Olympic Carrier.
    • 47,973 - One birth aboard the Rising Star.

Day 10

  • Water
    • 47,958 - A net loss of 15.

Day 15

Day 25

Day 28

Day 48

Day 50

Day 51

Season 2

Day 54 (est.)

Day 60 (est.)

  • The Farm
    • 47,857 - Four civilians massacred by marine strike team aboard the Gideon.

Dates Unknown

Day 86 (est.)

Dates Unknown

Day 189

  • Epiphanies
    • 49,598 - Deaths of Admiral Helena Cain and an unnamed marine guard on Pegasus. The remaining casualty count of four is conspicuously low given the scope of the battle depicted in the previous episode.

Dates Unknown

  • Black Market
    • 49,597 - The death of a suicide bomber on the Daru Mozu. Based on dialogue, the attack took the lives of the bomber and at least two civilians. This may have been offset by births in between the two episodes. The death of Jack Fisk was shown in the teaser of Black Market, and should be counted in the opening credits.
  • Scar
    • 49,593 - Deaths of Commander Jack Fisk, Fisk's assassin, Phelan, and one other person, presumably Beano. It is unclear where the death of Beano, the first of four pilots killed by Scar is counted. Since much of the episode, including the deaths of the four pilots killed by Scar, is shown in flashback.

c. Day 210

c. Day 240

Between c. Day 240 and c. Day 270

  • Razor ( Present events)
    • 49,579 - confirms closing count from "The Captain's Hand".

c. Day 270

  • Downloaded
    • 49,579 - confirms closing count from "The Captain's Hand". The count is either not updated to reflect the deaths of Kendra Shaw and Dasilva in "Razor" or there were births that offset those deaths.
  • Lay Down Your Burdens, Part I
    • 49,579 - No change since "Downloaded". It is unclear how the birth of Hera is counted. Her birth appears to be offset by the death of Maya's child. Maya's child seems to be the one seen in the incubator, and whose ashes are spread out of a Raptor by Helo and Tyrol.

c. Day 280

During the Settlement of New Caprica (from c. Day 280 to c. Day 660)

  • Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II
    • After the "One Year Later" time jump later in the episode, the population of New Caprica City is given as 39,192. This includes separated military personnel, but does not include military and civilians in the small fleet orbiting the planet.
  • Precipice
    • According to Lee Adama, about 2,000 civilians escaped with the ships in orbit of New Caprica.
    • Adama also states that both Galactica and Pegasus are at half strength (this can't be taken literally).
      • A careful crew tally establishes that, at full strength, Galactica is crewed by about 2,808 people and Pegasus by about 2,445.
      • The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, Galactica was crewed by about 2,600 people, and Pegasus by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.
    • This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)
    • Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II," this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of Cloud 9 and the surrounding vessels.
For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "Crossroads, Part I" section

Season 3

During the Occupation of New Caprica (from c. Day 660 to c. Day 798)

  • An unknown number of people died in the insurgency and Cylon retaliation. However this must be offset by additional births during this four month time span. Accurately tracking the population numbers is impossible at this point, but known casualty figures are given below:
  • c. Day 729
  • c. Day 794
  • c. Day 796
    • Precipice - suicide bombing at the power substation kills 4 humans. Three resistance fighters die in the ambush at Breeders Canyon.
  • c. Day 798
    • Exodus, Part II - numerous casualties during the evacuation of New Caprica, including Maya. Ellen Tigh is poisoned by her husband for collaborating with the Cylons, but as she is a Cylon herself her death is not counted.

c. Day 800

  • Collaborators
    • 41,435 - Fleet population as of the third day of the Second Exodus. Given the above numbers, the death toll of the resistance and the Battle of New Caprica is about 2000 people. Given the total in the next episode, this figure does not reflect the 13 collaborators executed by the Circle between this episode and the last.
    • Several hundred children might have been born on New Caprica. Since they are also included in the count, the Fleet has lost more older and able-bodied people than apparent.

c. Day 830

  • Torn
    • 41,422 - Figure now reflects the 13 collaborators executed by the Circle. No deaths occur in this episode.

c. Day 831

c. Day 935

c. Day 950

Dates Unknown

  • The Son Also Rises
    • 41,399 - Death of Kara Thrace in the prior episode, and Alan Hughes at the end of this episode's teaser. Hughes' death is either not counted, offset by a birth, or Thrace's death is not counted.
  • Crossroads, Part I
    • Unknown, as there is no intro for this episode.
    • The following numbers are given during Baltar's trial by Cassidy: 44,035 - the number who settled on New Caprica; 38,838 - the number the day after the escape. However the number of escapees can only refer to the civilian population of the Fleet, and despite talking specifically about the people who settled on New Caprica, this number includes the total population, including those in orbit.
    • This contradictory wording is a writing error, but interpreting them slightly differently confirms the estimates from "Precipice":
      • 41,435 (Collaborators) - 38,838 = 2,597 (the military personnel in the Fleet)
      • 44,035 - 39,192 (the inhabitants of New Caprica City) = 4,835 (the total population left in orbit)
      • 4,835 - 2,597 = 2,238 (in "Precipice" Lee Adama refers to roughly 2,000 civilians who escaped New Caprica)
      • 49,550 (count in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II") - 39,192 - 4,835 = 5,523 (the death toll prior to the occupation, mostly incurred with the destruction of Cloud 9)
      • 49,550 - 5,523 - 41,435 = 2,592 (the causalities of the Cylon occupation and the escape from New Caprica)
Note: While this number of military personnel fits with the estimate about their strength during the settlement of New Caprica, it still does not fit with the depiction of overcrowding on Galactica after the escape from the planet and the destruction of Pegasus, since the battlestar was crewed with approximately 2,600 people to begin with. The number of civilians should therefore be lower.

Season 4

  • Six of One
    • 39,676 - 22 unaccounted for deaths from the previous episode. These may be people who were wounded in the battle, but died of their injuries later.
  • The Hub
    • 39,673 - A decrease of one, possibly counting Pike's death. However, the episode takes place concurrently with "Sine Qua Non" and Pike only dies later in the episode.
  • Daybreak, Part I
    • 39,516 - 5 unknown casualties, possibly people who were wounded in the previous episode but did not die until later.
  • Daybreak, Part III
    • 39,406 - Tally shown digitally available version of "Daybreak, Part III". A loss of 110, most likely casualties from the Battle of the Colony.
    • approx. "38,000" - Closing count given by Admiral Adama, a verbal estimate of the number of survivors who survived to make it to the second Earth. Laura Roslin dies on Earth. Kara "Starbuck" Thrace mysteriously vanishes. Samuel Anders pilots the Fleet into Earth's sun.
  • 150,000 Years Later
    • 6,760,000,000 - Estimated current population of Earth, descendants of the survivors of the Twelve Colonies of Kobol.

Per Episode

No. Episode Population ΔPopulation
1.01 33 50,298 No population change. 0
1.02 Water 47,958 Population decline. 2340
1.03 Bastille Day 47,958 No population change. 0
1.04 Act of Contrition 47,958 No population change. 0
1.05 You Can't Go Home Again 47,954 Population decline. 4
1.06 Litmus Not Available
1.07 Six Degrees of Separation Not Available
1.08 Flesh and Bone 47,954 No population change. 0
1.09 Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down 47,905 Population decline. 49
1.10 The Hand of God 47,898 Population decline. 7
1.11 Colonial Day 47,898 No population change. 0
1.12 Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I 47,897 Population decline. 1
1.13 Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part II 47,887 Population decline. 10
2.01 Scattered 47,875 Population decline. 12
2.02 Valley of Darkness 47,874 Population decline. 1
2.03 Fragged 47,862 Population decline. 12
2.04 Resistance 47,861 Population decline. 1
2.05 The Farm 47,857 Population decline. 4
2.06 Home, Part I 47,858 Population increase. 1
2.07 Home, Part II 47,855 Population decline. 3
2.08 Final Cut 47,853 Population decline. 2
2.09 Flight of the Phoenix 47,853 No population change. 0
2.10 Pegasus 49,605 Population increase. 1752
2.11 Resurrection Ship, Part I 49,604 Population decline. 1
2.12 Resurrection Ship, Part II 49,604 No population change. 0
2.13 Epiphanies 49,598 Population decline. 6
2.14 Black Market 49,597 Population decline. 1
2.15 Scar 49,593 Population decline. 4
2.16 Sacrifice 49,590 Population decline. 3
2.17 The Captain's Hand 49,584 Population decline. 6
2.18 Downloaded 49,579 Population decline. 5
2.19 Lay Down Your Burdens, Part I 49,579 No population change. 0
2.20 Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II 49,550 Population decline. 29
3.01 Occupation Not Available
3.02 Precipice Not Available
3.03 Exodus, Part I Not Available
3.04 Exodus, Part II Not Available
3.05 Collaborators 41,435 Population decline. 8115
3.06 Torn 41,422 Population decline. 13
3.07 A Measure of Salvation 41,420 Population decline. 2
3.08 Hero 41,421 Population increase. 1
3.09 Unfinished Business 41,422 Population increase. 1
3.10 The Passage 41,420 Population decline. 2
3.11 The Eye of Jupiter 41,402 Population decline. 18
3.12 Rapture 41,401 Population decline. 1
3.13 Taking a Break From All Your Worries 41,403 Population increase. 2
3.14 The Woman King 41,401 Population decline. 2
3.15 A Day in the Life 41,398 Population decline. 3
3.16 Dirty Hands 41,400 Population increase. 2
3.17 Maelstrom 41,400 No population change. 0
3.18 The Son Also Rises 41,399 Population decline. 1
3.19 Crossroads, Part I 41,399 No population change. 0
3.20 Crossroads, Part II Not Available
4.01 He That Believeth in Me 39,698 Population decline. 1701
4.02 Six of One 39,676 Population decline. 22
4.03 The Ties That Bind 39,676 No population change. 0
4.04 Escape Velocity 39,675 Population decline. 1
4.05 The Road Less Traveled 39,676 Population increase. 1
4.06 Faith 39,675 Population decline. 1
4.07 Guess What's Coming to Dinner? 39,673 Population decline. 2
4.08 Sine Qua Non 39,674 Population increase. 1
4.09 The Hub 39,673 Population decline. 1
4.10 Revelations 39,665 Population decline. 8
4.11 Sometimes a Great Notion 39,651 Population decline. 14
4.12 A Disquiet Follows My Soul 39,650 Population decline. 1
4.13 The Oath 39,644 Population decline. 6
4.14 Blood on the Scales 39,643 Population decline. 1
4.15 No Exit 39,603 Population decline. 40
4.16 Deadlock 39,556 Population decline. 47
4.17 Someone to Watch Over Me 39,556 No population change. 0
4.18 Islanded in a Stream of Stars 39,521 Population decline. 35
4.19 Daybreak, Part I 39,516 Population decline. 5
4.20 Daybreak, Part II Not Available
4.21 Daybreak, Part III 39,406 Population decline. 110

Analysis

  • A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the Carina indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.
  • Since the end of "33," the Fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, barring the arrival of more humans such as that seen in "Pegasus," the Fleet would be completely depopulated within a few decades.
  • In "The Captain's Hand" (roughly in the region of Day 250-60), Dr. Baltar estimated that (factoring in the arrival of Pegasus), given the survivor count's current rate of decline, never increasing, the human race will simply go extinct in 18 years. If this refers only to excess mortality, it would mean an average rate of roughly 7.5 people a day. It may be that Baltar's estimate considered more factors, such as labor shortages resulting in famine, which would complicate this model, resulting in the death rate exponentially increasing over time.
  • First season survivor counts are available from President Roslin's whiteboard aboard Colonial One. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles, as well as the presidential whiteboard.
  • The loss of 8,115 people between "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II" and "Collaborators" is the highest net loss from one opening title count to another.