Survivor count

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Revision as of 00:35, 1 February 2006 by Philwelch (talk | contribs) (→‎Analysis: note as per source)

The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on Colonial One, and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue. In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on Kobol early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced with date information from Re-Imagined Series Timeline.

Graph

All dates past Day 51 are estimates.

Data

Day 6

  • 33
    • 50,298 - initial estimate.
    • 49,998 - after revising count downward by 300.
    • 49,317 - after second revision downward (cut scene, DVD)
    • 47,972 - after destruction of the Olympic Carrier.
    • 47,973 - one birth on the Rising Star.

Day 10

Day 15

Day 25

Day 28

Day 48

Day 50

Day 51

Day 54 (est.)

Day 60 (est.)

Dates Unknown

Day 86 (est.)

Date Unknown

  • Pegasus
    • 49,605 - After the return of the battlestar Pegasus, a dramatic increase of 1,752 over the previous count.

Analysis

  • The loss of the Olympic Carrier was catastrophic compared to any subsequent events to befall the fleet. Clearly no ship has been lost off-screen since that episode, and if any ship is destroyed, it will be quite noticeable. The total fleet count remains as it was at the start of the series (about 40 ships according to the Mini-Series, about 75 according to "The Farm").
  • Since the end of "33", the fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, the fleet will be completely depopulated in 62 years. If the show's failure to supply concrete dates continues during the remainder of the second season, perhaps the "half-life" of the fleet's population can be used to "carbon date" future episodes.
  • First season survivor counts are available from the whiteboard aboard Colonial One. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles.