Survivor count - Revision history

Joe Beaudoin Jr. at 21:15, 21 December 2025

2025-12-21T21:15:51Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 21:15, 21 December 2025
Line 6:		Line 6:

	==Graph==		==Graph==
	~~[[File~~:~~Fleet_survivors_new~~.~~jpg]]~~		{{#widget:archive\|id=survivor_count.html}}

	:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''		:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Undo revision 259418 by Joe Beaudoin Jr. (talk)

2025-12-21T20:42:41Z

Undo revision 259418 by Joe Beaudoin Jr. (talk)

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:42, 21 December 2025
Line 6:		Line 6:

	==Graph==		==Graph==
	~~{{#widget:BSGPopulationTracker}}~~
	[[File:Fleet_survivors_new.jpg]]		[[File:Fleet_survivors_new.jpg]]
	:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''		:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''

Joe Beaudoin Jr. at 20:42, 21 December 2025

2025-12-21T20:42:23Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:42, 21 December 2025
Line 6:		Line 6:

	==Graph==		==Graph==
			{{#widget:BSGPopulationTracker}}
	[[File:Fleet_survivors_new.jpg]]		[[File:Fleet_survivors_new.jpg]]
	:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''		:''All dates up until 51 are exact, 51-950 use estimates below, all tallies past 950 use an average of 5 days between counts (it averages out)''

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - "[[Image:" to "[[File:"

2025-02-04T22:08:33Z

Text replacement - "[[Image:" to "[[File:"

Show changes

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - "Helo" to "{{callsign|Helo}}"

2024-12-30T23:39:51Z

Text replacement - "Helo" to "{{callsign|Helo}}"

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:39, 30 December 2024
Line 72:		Line 72:
	'''Dates Unknown'''		'''Dates Unknown'''
	*'''[[Home, Part I]]'''		*'''[[Home, Part I]]'''
	** 47,858 - Return of ~~[[Karl Agathon~~\|Helo]], who was presumed dead. Caprica Valerii is not included in the count.		** 47,858 - Return of {{callsign\|Helo}}, who was presumed dead. Caprica Valerii is not included in the count.
	*'''[[Home, Part II]]'''		*'''[[Home, Part II]]'''
	** 47,855 - Death of [[Elosha]] and a [[Laura Roslin faction\|faction]] [[Wikipedia: Redshirt (character)\|redshirt]].		** 47,855 - Death of [[Elosha]] and a [[Laura Roslin faction\|faction]] [[Wikipedia: Redshirt (character)\|redshirt]].

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - "Cloud Nine" to "Cloud 9"

2024-07-14T06:24:59Z

Text replacement - "Cloud Nine" to "Cloud 9"

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - ""," to ",""

2024-02-24T17:49:40Z

Text replacement - ""," to ",""

← Older revision		Revision as of 17:49, 24 February 2024
Line 35:		Line 35:
	'''Day 25'''		'''Day 25'''
	*'''[[Flesh and Bone]]'''		*'''[[Flesh and Bone]]'''
	**47,954 - A net loss of 4 after deaths of a marine and three crew in "[[Litmus]]", the discovery of [[Ellen Tigh]] one week prior to "[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]", and the disappearance of [[Shelly Godfrey]] in "[[Six Degrees of Separation]]". [[Number Five#Suicide Bomber Copy\|Aaron Doral (Scorpia Traveler copy)]] was apparently not included among the fleet's population. The events of "Act of Contrition" have (still) not been accounted for.		**47,954 - A net loss of 4 after deaths of a marine and three crew in "[[Litmus]]," the discovery of [[Ellen Tigh]] one week prior to "[[Tigh Me Up, Tigh Me Down]]," and the disappearance of [[Shelly Godfrey]] in "[[Six Degrees of Separation]]". [[Number Five#Suicide Bomber Copy\|Aaron Doral (Scorpia Traveler copy)]] was apparently not included among the fleet's population. The events of "Act of Contrition" have (still) not been accounted for.

	'''Day 28'''		'''Day 28'''
Line 53:		Line 53:
	**47,887 - [[Raptor 3]] destroyed over {{RDM\|Kobol}} with 10 souls aboard.		**47,887 - [[Raptor 3]] destroyed over {{RDM\|Kobol}} with 10 souls aboard.
	*'''[[Scattered]]'''		*'''[[Scattered]]'''
	**47,875 - [[Sharon Valerii\|"Boomer" Valerii]] is removed from the count after her assassination attempt. Probably includes the death of [[Karma]] in "[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]", since the on-screen total appears to include deaths on Kobol. 10 additional unseen deaths.		**47,875 - [[Sharon Valerii\|"Boomer" Valerii]] is removed from the count after her assassination attempt. Probably includes the death of [[Karma]] in "[[Kobol's Last Gleaming, Part I]]," since the on-screen total appears to include deaths on Kobol. 10 additional unseen deaths.

	=== Season 2===		=== Season 2===
Line 133:		Line 133:
	***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,600 people, and ''Pegasus'' by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.		***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,600 people, and ''Pegasus'' by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.
	**This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)		**This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)
	**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II", this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of ''[[Cloud Nine]]'' and the surrounding vessels.		**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II," this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of ''[[Cloud Nine]]'' and the surrounding vessels.
	:''For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "[[Crossroads, Part I]]" section''		:''For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "[[Crossroads, Part I]]" section''

Line 245:		Line 245:

	*'''[[Sometimes a Great Notion]]'''		*'''[[Sometimes a Great Notion]]'''
	**39,651 - A decrease of fourteen. Accounting for the unnamed pilot executed by [[D'Anna Biers\|D'Anna]] in "[[Revelations]]", and thirteen additional unexplained deaths.		**39,651 - A decrease of fourteen. Accounting for the unnamed pilot executed by [[D'Anna Biers\|D'Anna]] in "[[Revelations]]," and thirteen additional unexplained deaths.
	**39,650 - [[Anastasia Dualla]] commits suicide.		**39,650 - [[Anastasia Dualla]] commits suicide.

Line 664:		Line 664:
	==Analysis==		==Analysis==
	*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on ''[[Cloud Nine]]'' by the [[Number Six]] copy, [[Gina Inviere]], is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.		*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on ''[[Cloud Nine]]'' by the [[Number Six]] copy, [[Gina Inviere]], is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.
	*The ships ''[[Adriatic]]'' and ''[[Carina]]'' are also destroyed in "[[The Passage]]", however with only skeleton crews aboard.		*The ships ''[[Adriatic]]'' and ''[[Carina]]'' are also destroyed in "[[The Passage]]," however with only skeleton crews aboard.
	:*A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the ''Carina'' indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.		:*A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the ''Carina'' indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.
	*Since the end of "[[33]]", the Fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, barring the arrival of more humans such as that seen in "[[Pegasus]]", the Fleet would be completely depopulated within a few decades.		*Since the end of "[[33]]," the Fleet's population has been dying off at a fairly steady rate of approximately 2.1 persons per day. At this rate, barring the arrival of more humans such as that seen in "[[Pegasus]]," the Fleet would be completely depopulated within a few decades.
	*In "[[The Captain's Hand]]" (roughly in the region of Day 250-60), Dr. Baltar estimated that (factoring in the arrival of ''Pegasus''), given the survivor count's current rate of decline, never increasing, the human race will simply go extinct in 18 years. If this refers only to excess mortality, it would mean an average rate of roughly 7.5 people a day. It may be that Baltar's estimate considered more factors, such as labor shortages resulting in famine, which would complicate this model, resulting in the death rate exponentially increasing over time.		*In "[[The Captain's Hand]]" (roughly in the region of Day 250-60), Dr. Baltar estimated that (factoring in the arrival of ''Pegasus''), given the survivor count's current rate of decline, never increasing, the human race will simply go extinct in 18 years. If this refers only to excess mortality, it would mean an average rate of roughly 7.5 people a day. It may be that Baltar's estimate considered more factors, such as labor shortages resulting in famine, which would complicate this model, resulting in the death rate exponentially increasing over time.
	*First season survivor counts are available from [[Laura Roslin\|President Roslin's]] whiteboard aboard ''[[Colonial One]]''. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles, as well as the presidential whiteboard.		*First season survivor counts are available from [[Laura Roslin\|President Roslin's]] whiteboard aboard ''[[Colonial One]]''. Second season survivor counts are included in the opening titles, as well as the presidential whiteboard.

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - "Sharon Agathon" to "{{callsign|Athena}}"

2024-02-19T04:03:07Z

Text replacement - "Sharon Agathon" to "{{callsign|Athena}}"

← Older revision		Revision as of 04:03, 19 February 2024
Line 236:		Line 236:

	*'''[[Sine Qua Non]]'''		*'''[[Sine Qua Non]]'''
	**39,674 - An unexplained increase by one. During the episode [[Eammon Pike]] is found the dead in the Raptor and several pilots were likely killed in the battle at the [[Resurrection Hub]]. [[Natalie Faust]] succumbs to her injuries from ~~[[Sharon Agathon]]~~'s assassination attempt. Her death is not counted.		**39,674 - An unexplained increase by one. During the episode [[Eammon Pike]] is found the dead in the Raptor and several pilots were likely killed in the battle at the [[Resurrection Hub]]. [[Natalie Faust]] succumbs to her injuries from {{callsign\|Athena}}'s assassination attempt. Her death is not counted.

	*'''[[The Hub]]'''		*'''[[The Hub]]'''

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: Text replacement - "Crashdown" to "{{callsign|Crashdown}}"

2024-02-11T23:50:57Z

Text replacement - "Crashdown" to "{{callsign|Crashdown}}"

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:50, 11 February 2024
Line 64:		Line 64:
	'''Day 54 (est.)'''		'''Day 54 (est.)'''
	*'''[[Resistance (episode)\|Resistance]]'''		*'''[[Resistance (episode)\|Resistance]]'''
	**47,861 - [[Crashdown]] shot by [[Gaius Baltar]].		**47,861 - {{callsign\|Crashdown}} shot by [[Gaius Baltar]].

	'''Day 60 (est.)'''		'''Day 60 (est.)'''

Joe Beaudoin Jr.: + pic, minor tweaks

2024-01-15T03:01:13Z

+ pic, minor tweaks

← Older revision		Revision as of 03:01, 15 January 2024
Line 1:		Line 1:
	{{disline\|This article involves the survivor count of the refugees in the [[Re-imagined Series]]. For a count of losses and gains in the Fleet incurred during the [[Original Series]], see: [[Fleet population]].}}		{{disline\|This article involves the survivor count of the refugees in the [[Re-imagined Series]]. For a count of losses and gains in the Fleet incurred during the [[Original Series]], see: [[Fleet population]].}}
			[[File:TRS - 33 - Roslin Adds to the Survivor Count Whiteboard.jpg\|thumb\|[[Laura Roslin]] celebrates a small victory following the birth of a child aboard ''{{RDM\|Rising Star}}'' {{TRS\|33}}.]]
			The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on ''[[Colonial One]]'', and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue.

	The number of surviving Colonial citizens and military in the fleet was provided at intervals throughout the first season on a whiteboard on ''[[Colonial One]]'', and in one instance spoken aloud in dialogue. In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on {{RDM\|Kobol}} early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced ~~with date information from~~ [[Timeline (RDM)]].		In the second season, this number appears in the opening credits of every episode (sometimes jokingly referred to as the "Countdown to Extinction"), and displays limited omniscience, updating itself to reflect the deaths on {{RDM\|Kobol}} early in that season. This page collects the figures available thus far, cross-referenced [[Timeline (RDM)\|with the timeline]].

	==Graph==		==Graph==

← Older revision		Revision as of 06:24, 14 July 2024
Line 133:		Line 133:
	***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,600 people, and ''Pegasus'' by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.		***The same tally indicates that immediately prior to the one-year jump, ''Galactica'' was crewed by about 2,600 people, and ''Pegasus'' by about 1,700. At half-strength, this puts the minimum number of military personnel at about 2,200.
	**This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)		**This puts our estimate of the total human population at roughly 43,400 (39,192 + 2000 + 2200)
	**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II," this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of ''[[Cloud ~~Nine~~]]'' and the surrounding vessels.		**Subtracting from the figure of 49,550 given in "Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II," this means that the total population fell by about 6150 people during the one-year gap. The majority of these deaths probably happened as a result of the destruction of ''[[Cloud 9]]'' and the surrounding vessels.
	:''For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "[[Crossroads, Part I]]" section''		:''For a confirmation of these estimates with more accurate numbers see the "[[Crossroads, Part I]]" section''

Line 205:		Line 205:
	***44,035 - 39,192 (the inhabitants of [[New Caprica City]]) = 4,835 (the total population left in orbit)		***44,035 - 39,192 (the inhabitants of [[New Caprica City]]) = 4,835 (the total population left in orbit)
	***4,835 - 2,597 = 2,238 (in "Precipice" Lee Adama refers to roughly 2,000 civilians who escaped New Caprica)		***4,835 - 2,597 = 2,238 (in "Precipice" Lee Adama refers to roughly 2,000 civilians who escaped New Caprica)
	***49,550 (count in "[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]") - 39,192 - 4,835 = 5,523 (the death toll prior to the occupation, mostly incurred with the destruction of ''[[Cloud ~~Nine~~]]'')		***49,550 (count in "[[Lay Down Your Burdens, Part II]]") - 39,192 - 4,835 = 5,523 (the death toll prior to the occupation, mostly incurred with the destruction of ''[[Cloud 9]]'')
	***49,550 - 5,523 - 41,435 = 2,592 (the causalities of the Cylon occupation and the [[Battle of New Caprica\|escape from New Caprica]])		***49,550 - 5,523 - 41,435 = 2,592 (the causalities of the Cylon occupation and the [[Battle of New Caprica\|escape from New Caprica]])
	:'''Note:''' While this number of military personnel fits with the estimate about their strength during the settlement of New Caprica, it still does not fit with the depiction of overcrowding on ''Galactica'' after the escape from the planet and the destruction of ''Pegasus'', since the battlestar was crewed with approximately 2,600 people to begin with. The number of civilians should therefore be lower.		:'''Note:''' While this number of military personnel fits with the estimate about their strength during the settlement of New Caprica, it still does not fit with the depiction of overcrowding on ''Galactica'' after the escape from the planet and the destruction of ''Pegasus'', since the battlestar was crewed with approximately 2,600 people to begin with. The number of civilians should therefore be lower.
Line 663:		Line 663:

	==Analysis==		==Analysis==
	*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on ''[[Cloud ~~Nine~~]]'' by the [[Number Six]] copy, [[Gina Inviere]], is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.		*The detonation of a nuclear warhead on ''[[Cloud 9]]'' by the [[Number Six]] copy, [[Gina Inviere]], is the first time a ship has been destroyed since the destruction of the ''[[Olympic Carrier]]''.
	*The ships ''[[Adriatic]]'' and ''[[Carina]]'' are also destroyed in "[[The Passage]]," however with only skeleton crews aboard.		*The ships ''[[Adriatic]]'' and ''[[Carina]]'' are also destroyed in "[[The Passage]]," however with only skeleton crews aboard.
	:*A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the ''Carina'' indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.		:*A deleted scene from "The Passage" with President Roslin broadcasting a message following the loss of the ''Carina'' indicated that they had lost four ships in the star cluster, with 46 men and 12 women aboard those ships.